Top Baseball Prospects for 2012
Now updated for 2012's Top Prospects
Scouting Book's Top Prospects list is a Combined List, a calculated summary of the overall valuations of the entire prospect universe.
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A 6-foot-4, solidly-built athlete, Marlin prospect Christian Yelich is a left-handed hitter with a picturesque swing that's a thing of beauty. Yelich is already showing good power, and as he grows into his body, that power should grow along with him. Though nominally a first baseman, the Marlins actually prefer him as an outfielder for now, and left field would seem to be his logical destination. He's another year or so from being relevant, especially as the big-spending Marlins seem pretty well-stocked in bats, and are playing with a win-right-now attitude all of a sudden. Expect him to start in A-ball and wind up in AA, which could mean he'll be primed for June, 2013.
Full Scouting Report for Christian Yelich
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The fastest legs in red stockings, infielder Billy Hamilton should soon get a shot at locking down a long-term infield job in CIncinnati's young lineup. The Pioneer League's player of the year in 2010 just kept on running wild at A-ball in 2011, stealing 103 (not a typo) bases in 130 games with Dayton, and doing so at an 84% success rate. The switch-hitting Hamilton really does look like a prototypical leadoff hitter thanks to his wheels and on-base skills. In the field, he's capable of shortstop, but more likely to land at second base come 2013 or so. If he gets a callup in late-2012, expect to see dust fly.
Full Scouting Report for Billy Hamilton
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A toolsy centerfielder pushing his way up the Cubs ladder, Brett Jackson is a well-rounded player without a single defining skill, but with the right mix for a top-of-the-order role in the future. A .297/.388/.551 hitter at AAA Iowa in 2011, Jackson's mix of plus speed and mature plate discipline portends a leadoff role, though his developing power (from 12 to 20 homers last year) might make him slot into the three hole just fine, too. He's primed and equipped for an opportunity in MLB, probably the only Cubs prospect really ready to do so, so he should get a chance in 2012.
Full Scouting Report for Brett Jackson
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He's clearly no shortstop anymore, as Scouting Book readers knew to expect, but that doesn't stop Miguel Sano from stepping into the number one prospect room in Minnesota. The biggest Latin American signing of 2009, Sano was a coup of sorts for the small market Minnesota Twins. A coveted athlete pursued by all the usual big-market teams, it was Minnesota's relentless (one might say 'piranha-like') tenacity that finally landed the youngster. The power he wasn't showing in 2010 showed up last year, as the youngster mashed 20 dingers in only 66 rookie-league games at Elizabethton, making it clear that he needs to be playing at a higher level. He'll start dealing with the A-levels this season, but if the Twins are anything, it's patient with prospects, so don't expect any dramatic promotions for a couple more seasons. While his bat is enticing, the rest of his game is more typical of an 18-year old: sloppy and inconsistent. He'll need to become a better fielder and baserunner, at the very least, before he's treated with proper respect in the big city Cities.
Full Scouting Report for Miguel Sano
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The son of an Olympic softball pitcher who grew up playing in the infield dirt, Cuban outfielder Yoenis Cespedes rose to US attention as that nation's centerfielder during 2009's World Baseball Classic. In the tournament, he slashed .458/.480/1.000 with two homers in six games. He also went a scintillating 11-for-22 with four homers in six games of the World University Baseball Championship the following year. Back in the Cuban National League for the regular 2010-11 season, Cespedes racked up a .333/.472/.667 line in 85 games. Of course, his brightest spotlight so far probably came in the offseason with two self-promotional YouTube videos (Google them yourself, lazy reader!) in which he showed off his skills, training and abs. Cespedes has fast hands and generates good power with a little natural loft from the right side of the plate. He has genuine plus speed, more than enough to handle centerfield, the position he's most familiar with. Of course, the A's might prefer the more defensively polished Coco Crisp there for the near future. Even if he works from a corner, though, Cespedes will still have an opportunity to show off his average-to-strong arm. In his fielding routes and baserunning, no surprise: he shows a little of the stereotypical lack-of-polish usually assigned to young Cuban ballplayers, but once he learns to play with a cooler head and calmer hands, he's very likely to be a success in MLB. A few months ago, we liked Cespedes a lot as an unknown sleeper, but thanks to the huge swell of coverage, that ship has already sailed. More recently, we're not quite on board with some of the louder touts whose drooliest rankings, if taken at face value, would make him the best Cuban hitter in history. That's just... a bit much. Our reluctance to fluff him quite that much comes in large part from the amount of real competitive data we all have on him: almost none. Still, Cespedes looks like he's close enough to a total baseball package to deserve a major league locker in 2012, and until he proves otherwise, he should be counted as a quality prospect by any measure. How much further he can go beyond fitting in will come down to exactly how much upside he has left, and that'll be an open question all year long.
Full Scouting Report for Yoenis Cespedes
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You have to give the Blue Jays some credit. Even with their backs to the wall and the necessity of trading away the best pitcher in franchise history, they managed to come out ahead by completely restocking their depleted farm system with high-talent players like D'Arnaud. Not to be confused with infielder Chase, Travis is an offensively gifted catcher who recently hit .311/.371/.542 at double-A New Hampshire while cracking 21 homers. He's got above-average speed for a catcher and a developing eye for the strike zone that should allow him to hit high in a future Blue Jays batting order.
Full Scouting Report for Travis d'Arnaud
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The Mariners' first round pick in 2010, righthander Taijuan Walker looks like a number one starter on almost any MLB team. On the Mariners, that probably makes him a number three, or maybe two-and-a-half. (This team's pitching depth in the minors is just plain sick, which explains why they could part with young ace Michael Pineda so 'easily' this winter.) Walker works mainly with a 94mph darting fastball that has great late movement, and when he mixes in a sometimes-effective straight change at 82mph, the fastball is nearly unhittable. His breaking pitch is a slurvy curve that isn't yet ready for regular use, but he'll have time to develop. He took a big step forward in 2011, going 6-5, 2.89, 1.12 at A-level Clinton. He struck out 113 in just 97 innings of work, walking only 39. Walker has higher upside (and higher risk) than either Hultzen or Paxton, but he's also a lot younger, and will probably take longer to realize his potential. If all goes well, he could be impressing coaches in AA as early as 2012, and be eating garlic fries for breakfast by the end of 2013. A safer bet puts him in contention for MLB work in 2014.
Full Scouting Report for Taijuan Walker
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An undrafted free agent signing from Venezuela, teenage lefty Martin Perez was one of the Rangers' best-kept secrets until he blew away half the minor leagues in 2009. He's impressive, and slowly getting closer to MLB-ready. The skinny 20 year old turns into a wiry 21 year old this spring, and until some late-season trips in 2011, he hadn't failed to strike out a batter per inning at any point in his young career. That bounce between AA and AAA last year was part of a very aggressive promotion schedule that we have to hope at least seasoned the youngster. He should start 2012 back in AA with hopes of a midseason callup. His prime won't arrive until 2014 or so, however.
Full Scouting Report for Martin Perez
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He doesn't have Bryce Harper's moonshot power, but Anthony Rendon is probably still the best pure hitter in the Nationals system today. (Overshadowed by Harper from the very beginning, Rendon was the team's first round draft pick in 2011.) A nominal third baseman, he'll probably shift to second or left field for the Nats soon, at least as long as Ryan Zimmerman appears entrenched at the hot corner. He'll definitely be a potent part of a future Nats lineup, and could debut around the same time as superprospect Harper moves to the Beltway for good.
Full Scouting Report for Anthony Rendon
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Originally drafted out of high school by the Oakland A's back in 2007, outfielder Gary Brown chose college instead before entering the 2010 draft, when he was selected 24th overall by the San Francisco Giants. A plus-plus runner with a centerfielder's natural graces, Brown's bat has been bad but improving, giving him the right mix of tools for an MLB leadoff slot in another couple of years.
Full Scouting Report for Gary Brown
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20 to 30 of 500 Prospects
Top Prospects 2012
Combined Ranking