Baseball's Top Prospects for 2010
Remember: This list evolves and changes daily.
RHP, BOS
The big, strong shortstop who also pitches has become the big, strong pitcher who used to play short. Young Casey Kelly is already 6-3 and 200lbs, with more size and strength to come as he fills out, and now that he's a full time mound monster, he can put all of that strength into his fastball. Kelly's fastball, by the way, is already rated the best heatuh in the Red Sox system. And so is his curve. And so is his changeup. Put all that together with his plus control, and it seems pretty clear we're looking at the next Red Sox ace.
More Scouting Book Info on Casey Kelly >
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RHP, ARZ
Jarrod Parker, one of the most highly-touted prospects in the 2007 draft, fell to the Arizona Diamondbacks with the 9th overall pick, and they did not hesitate. While he's still young, he shows exceptional character and makeup, which means he may be destined for the big leagues sooner than most. He draws comparisons to 2007 super-phenom Tim Lincecum, since he produces tremendous power from a smaller-than-average build. Though he doesn't have quite the same freakish ability or 102mph stuff as Lincecum, he'll likely follow a similar path anyway, as Arizona's farm managers decide quickly whether they're dealing with a future ace or future closer, and move him along accordingly. He should spend 2009 in AA, with a shot at testing the Arizona bullpen late in the year. Relief work will get him to the majors sooner than later, but if the Diamondbacks can be patient and help him along, he could be a middle-rotation starter come 2011 or so.
More Scouting Book Info on Jarrod Parker >
22
OF, PHI
Once the best raw talent in the Phillies system, centerfielder Domonic (sic) Brown draws comparisons to a young Grady Sizemore due to his tall, lanky frame, good speed, plus discipline and strong left arm. He's increased his OBP, K:BB ratio and stolen base success rate at each of his three minor league stops to date (including a .346/.456/.802 line in his first taste of AA ball in 2009), which means his ceiling isn't yet known. He's young, hasn't shown any real power yet, and won't be a factor for a couple more years, but he's one of the best outfield prospects the Phillies have right now, and he could be a future all-star.
More Scouting Book Info on Domonic Brown >
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OF, OAK
A 6-6, 250lb monster back in high school, Taylor avoided an early draft by committing to Stanford. When he emerged from college, he was gobbled up by the Phillies in the same 5th round selection that netted them Ryan Howard six years earlier, and scouts see similar things in the two sluggers. After ditching his 'Stanford Swing' for a bigger and more wide open hammer, Taylor tore up the minors last year, slashing .361/.441/.554 at A-level Lakeland and .329/.380/.560 after a promotion to high-A Clearwater. He strikes out a bit too much, especially on quality breaking pitches, but his new owners in Oakland have never been afraid of that kind of hitter as long as the production averages out. As an outfielder, he has limited range, though his speed is probably average, or even a bit better than average. His strong throwing arm that suggests right field is his natural position. While his approach at the plate looks crude, he's actually a pretty polished product: he'll probably spend most of 2010 in AA and AAA, but he could get a long look in Oakland before the end of the year.
More Scouting Book Info on Michael Taylor >
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LHP, CIN
A whisper-thin lefthander with a whiplike delivery that can touch 100mph, Cuban Aroldis Chapman is one of the highest-ceiling lefties in baseball today... and also one of the riskiest. Chapman went 6-7 with a 3.89 ERA in 2008 and 11-4 with a 4.03 ERA in 2009 as a starter in Cuba's National League, after working as Holguin's closer the year before. He finished second in the vote for the league's best left-handed pitcher in 2009. With a reputation as a thrower rather than a pitcher and some questions about his makeup and work ethic, Chapman was passed over by the big-market and fat-wallet teams, landing in Cincinnati in a surprise winter deal. While he has the stuff, there's some question about his ability to use it effectively. Despite the high heat, Chapman looked very hittable in the WBC and other recent international tournaments, where he had little success as a starter. Some wonder whether his pitching style could wither when faced with more patient and less free-swinging adversaries, or whether a home might be easier to find in an MLB bullpen, where he could become a rather expensive Billy Wagner. 100mph lefthanders are worth some risk, of course, but until he gets a full season of minor league ball under his belt, nobody will really know what they're looking at.
More Scouting Book Info on Aroldis Chapman >
25
OF, DET
A young, toolsy prospect who's frustrated scouts by showing only flashes of his tremendous potential, Jackson looks to be the center-fielder of the very near future in Detroit. He has plus speed and a strong arm on defense, and at times has looked like a superior contact hitter. His natural speed should produce better and better base-stealing numbers as he learns the craft. He's not showing much power yet, but he's still very young and can grow into a stronger stroke. He's still not really ready for everyday duty, but the Granderson-less Tigers may push him quickly. If his bat can catch up to his speed and defense, he'll have a strong future.
More Scouting Book Info on Austin Jackson >
26
OF, SEA
A tall, sturdy Canadian, Saunders was a five-sport athlete in childhood and is a legitimate five-tool talent in the Seattle outfield. A natural center fielder with 20 home run potential and plus speed, he even touched 92mph as a sometime pitcher in high school. He'll be pushed fast, like all Seattle prospects seem to be, but unlike some that have fallen by the wayside, Saunders can probably handle the pressure and workload. He'll be fighting for an outfield spot in 2010's preseason, and might just win the job outright. Even if he falls short, he'll be on the speed dial for midseason.
More Scouting Book Info on Michael Saunders >
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1B, OAK
Jack Cust, we hardly knew you. Chris Carter is an all-or-nothing, power hitting first baseman from Redwood City, California. One of the busload of prospects Oakland acquired from Arizona in the trade that sent Dan Haren to the desert, he's often confused with the other first base prospect named Chris Carter. Oakland's version is the bigger, stronger, younger and much more right-handed version. His plate discipline hasn't developed as expected, but he did manage to hit .337 at AA ball in 2009 despite a high strikeout total. Called a 'dead red' hitter by one scout, Carter can hit mistake fastballs 500 feet... but he still flails at quality breaking balls. Oakland should give him a shot sometime in 2010, and when they do, expect a low average with many home runs and even more strikeouts.
More Scouting Book Info on Chris Carter >
28
SS, CHC
A darling prospect in the Cubs system, Dominican teenager Starlin Castro is seen by many scouts as Chicago's future franchise shortstop. He has a soft glove, strong arm and plus range, so he should stick at the position. Meanwhile, he has the bat control and discipline to hit near-.300 while slashing line drives to all fields. His speed is above-average, but like all aspects of his game, he needs a lot of practice and polish before he can really use it effectively. He's a couple of years away from Wrigley, but he's definitely a kid to keep an eye on.
More Scouting Book Info on Starlin Castro >
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3B, KC
The prodigy of Chatsworth high-school was drafted as a shortstop in the first round of the 2007 amateur draft by Kansas City. Now a line-drive hitting third-baseman, Moose hit 16 homers as a 20 year old in the Carolina League in 2009. He's a bit blocked in KC, since they're stacked in young bats and already have premium rookie Alex Gordon at third, so look for him to arrive sometime in 2011, unless the Royals open up space by trading some of their other heralded prospects sooner than that.
More Scouting Book Info on Mike Moustakas >
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